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Coinucation
Monday, October 12, 2026 · Morning edition
No. 1,211 · 300 coins tracked · Printed from live data
The daily record of crypto prices, flows and fees
Cycle floor · Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Bitcoin 200-week moving average

Bitcoin's price against its 200-week (1,400-day) moving average, the level that has marked every bear-market floor so far.

In brief
  • The 200-week moving average is $66,493 on October 12, 2026; Bitcoin at $82,444 is 1.24x that level (24% above).
  • The average itself rose 2.2% over the last 30 days.
  • Price closed below the 200-week average 21 times in our data, most recently August 12, 2026 at $63,538.
Figures as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Source: Coinucation data.
Bitcoin price vs its 200-week moving average: $280.00 on Jul 20, 2015 to $82,444 on Oct 12, 2026.$500.00$1,000$2,000$5,000$10,000$20,000$50,000$100,00020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026belowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelowbelow
BTC close200-week MA
Bitcoin price vs its 200-week moving average: $280.00 on Jul 20, 2015 to $82,444 on Oct 12, 2026.

Price / 200-week MA ratio

Bitcoin price divided by its 200-week moving average: 2.20 on May 20, 2019 to 1.24 on Oct 12, 2026, down 43.6%5.713.190.68
May 20, 2019Feb 3, 2023Oct 12, 2026
Bitcoin price divided by its 200-week moving average: 2.20 on May 20, 2019 to 1.24 on Oct 12, 2026, down 43.6%

Why the 200-week average matters

The 200-week simple moving average smooths almost four years of closes, roughly one halving cycle, so it rises slowly and rarely falls. In 2015, 2018 to 2019, 2020 and 2022 Bitcoin's bear-market lows formed at or just below it, which is why it is watched as a floor. The ratio of price to the average has peaked between 3x and 10x at cycle tops, with each top lower than the last.

Limits

A floor that has held four times is a pattern, not a law. The average lags badly: it reflects prices from up to four years ago, and in 2022 price spent months below it. Use the ratio to judge whether price is stretched relative to its long trend, not as a level that cannot break.

Frequently asked questions

What is Bitcoin's 200-week moving average right now?

$66,493 as of Oct 12, 2026. Bitcoin trades at $82,444, 1.24x the average.

Has Bitcoin ever closed below its 200-week moving average?

Yes, 21 times in Coinucation's data: March 12, 2020, March 14, 2020, June 14, 2022, June 16, 2022, July 23, 2022, August 4, 2022, August 19, 2022, June 5, 2023, June 7, 2023, June 10, 2023, June 18, 2023, August 17, 2023, August 30, 2023, October 2, 2023, June 6, 2026, June 10, 2026, June 25, 2026, July 9, 2026, July 14, 2026, August 1, 2026, August 12, 2026.

How is it calculated?

A simple average of the last 1,400 daily closes (200 weeks x 7 days) from Coinucation's own history table.

Prices, flows and statistics are informational, not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and you can lose your whole stake. Ownership and conflict disclosure.

Same data, same posts, in the Coinucation app.

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